The Latino Vote

The level of support for President Barack Obama among Latino voters was at near-historic levels in the 2012 presidential election. According to the National Council of La Raza (NCLR), the significance of Latino presence in states such as Florida, Virginia, Colorado, and Nevada, eliminates all doubt that the Hispanic vote contributed mightily to the president's razor-thin margin of victory in each of those states.

Various groups, such as Latinovotemap, have engaged in discussions of how exit polls often misrepresent Latino voters, pointing out that exit polls often rely on small samples of Latino likely voters, rarely utilize fully bilingual interviews, and utilize samples that are not reflective of the Hispanic/Latino population in the location being polled.

This site seeks to provide numerous sources for readers to have easily accessible information regarding the "Latino Vote" and how it impacted the 2012 presidential election. Included below are links to studies, news articles, case-law, and poll analysis regarding the presidential election. For a look at the vote demographic and Latino contribution, visit: http://www.latinovotemap.org/map/

 

STUDIES

Puerto Rican Civic and Political Participation | Research Brief <pdf>

A Record 24 Million Latinos Are Eligible to Vote, But Turnout Rate Has Lagged That of Whites, Blacks | Link <pdf>

Latino Voters Support Obama by 3-1 Ratio, But Are Less Certain than Others about Voting | Link <pdf>

Latino Voters in the 2012 Election | Link <pdf>

Demographic Change, Electoral Reapportionment, Voting Barriers, and the 2012 Presidential Election | Link <pdf>

An Awakened Giant: The Hispanic Electorate is Likely to Double by 2030 | Link

 

NEWS

Latino And Immigrant Voters Make History

Show of strength at the polls will translate in strong demands for pro-immigrant, pro-worker policies. Read More

A Demographic Shellacking?

The racial divide was clear on the cable news networks that have chosen their constituencies. When their cameras panned Romney supporters, they showed a nearly all-white crowd. When they went to Obama headquarters in Chicago, the crowd suddenly exuded diversity. Read More

Obama Win Fueled by Latino Voter Muscle, FOX Exit Polls Show

Fox News Exit Polls show the Latino community flexed their political muscle on Tuesday night, fueling a re-election win for President Barack Obama, especially in key battleground states. Roughly 50 percent of Latino voters cast their ballots, comprising 10 percent of Tuesday's turnout. That exceeded the record set in 2008, when Latinos made up a record 9 percent of all voters. Read more

Record Latino vote key to Obama's re-election

A historic number - 75 percent of Latinos - voted for Obama's re-election, according to Latino Decisions exit polls, the highest Latino support for any presidential candidate in the nation's history. Read More

The 113th Congress will feature the largest class of Latinos in the U.S. House of Representatives
A full list of Latino candidates elected to the U.S. Senate and U.S. House of Representatives for the 113th Congress is available on our website.
Republicans' minority outreach problems go way, way beyond immigration

The best evidence available on Hispanic public opinion, a big election even poll from Latino Decisions and ImpreMedia, makes it clear that this is just a fairly liberal voting block. Read More

JFK's last night recalled as key event for Latinos

The assassination of President Kennedy overshadowed the significance of a speech given on the day of his death, translated by the first lady Jacqueline Kennedy in Spanish to a group on Mexican-American civil Rights Activists. That event can be seen as the birth of the Latino vote, so instrumental in 2012 in helping re-elect the first black president, Barack Obama. Read More

5 things to watch in the Latino vote

CNN points to 5 things to watch in the Latino vote in the next elections. Read More

 

CASES

Colon-Marrero v. Conty-Perez, No. 12-2145 (1st Cir. 11/02/2012)

The First Circuit held that the National Voter Registration Act (NVRA), by its terms, does not apply to Puerto Rico, reasoning that although the statute does not explicitly exclude Puerto Rico from its scope, the statutory language and legislative history reveal Congress's intent to do so. Decision

 

POLL ANALYSIS

Popular Vote 2012: Breakdown by Age, Income and Education Demographics

Latinos voters in particular were a problem for Romney, and the Republicans, as their share of the electorate continues to grow, and they were crucial in winning important swing states for Obama, like Nevada, Colorado and Florida, and are the main reason New Mexico is now a solidly Democratic state. Read More

Changing Face of America Helps Assure Obama Victory

The Pew Research Center provides a breakdown of the demographic of voters in the 2012 election. Read More

Compare voter demographics of the nation and those states with winning margins of less than 7%. Interactive Chart

The 2012 Latino Vote Exit Poll Profile

CBS News provides a detailed demographic breakdown of the 2012 election. Read more